Monday, May 17, 2010

Checkmate or Stalemate?

Unfortunately PAD/yellows set the precedent of how to overthrow a government (aided & abetted by the usual players, and you know who)

Compare how Thaksin (a legitimately elected PM) dealt with protests against his premiership, to the way Abhisit is KILLING just to AVOID an election.

It's a stalemate:
Reds won't go home till Abhisit sets an early election, and Abhisit won't even talk until red's go home.

The two choices are:

1. Red's go home --> but they have no guarantee from Abhisit (and unfortunately his word cannot be trusted anyway - just look at what he said and did as opposition leader, how he became PM, and how he talked of reconciliation but did the exact opposite)


2. Abhisit dissolves parliament --> the red's go home immediately - no if's or but's.

The solution to ending the violence seems clear.
(violence which, by the way, seems very one-sided - why is that?)

Unfortunately Abhisit's killing spree has made things so much worse, which probably suits those backing him, as they don't much like elections anyway.
(free & fair elections especially are the thing they must avoid at all costs, being the only weak point in their hegemony of Thailand)

A few extra questions:

- What is the 'glue' that holds the current coalition in place?
(when previous stronger looking coalition governments have collapsed under much less pressure than this latest killing spree of redshirts)
What powerful figures are keeping things together, and how?

- What has Newin Chidchob been up to lately?
(remember the 'blue shirts' involvement during the April 2009 uprising?)

- Is the 'revered' institution happy to stand aside and see so many Thai get killed?
(possibly they have been influenced by Prem's strong recommendation for all to read a certain article by Chirmsak Pinthong last December?)


Anonymous said...

"- What is the 'glue' that holds the current coalition in place?"

There are two. Greed, got to get your snout in the public trough. And fear. Like riding a tiger, you just don't dare get off fr fear of what will happen when you do.

Both stem from being unelected and corrupt.

Anonymous said...

The "Chermsak Pinthong" link broken - possibly blocked by authorities as usual.

Hobby said...

The link works fine outside Thailand - it's to the Political Prisoners Thailand site, so same old story of the Thai junta blocking access to anything that shows up the truth of the noble lie, and the double standards it allows.

No sign of reconciliation as far as I can see, so brace yourself for round 3 next Songkran.

john francis lee said...

I think there will be elections in Thailand... well before next Songkran. I think that international pressure and unremitting pressure from within Thailand will force an election.

The question is... sooner, or later?

Abhisit is already being forced to explain why he won't commit to an early election this morning. The pressure will increase rather than decrease.

The question is the response of those running in the next election,

The platform :
1. the military is out of politics for good and all
2. the 1997 People's Constitution is reinstated and appropriately amended to enforce that decision
3. basic human rights are enshrined, as is the rule of the Constitution itself. Basic human rights cannot be denied and the Constitution cannot be abrogated by any government. Period.
4. one man/one woman one vote
5. one kind of law rooted in the Constitution. No more "administrative law", no more "Emergency Decrees", only laws passed consonant with the Constitution by the people's parliament... or by the people themselves.
6. distribution of powers delegated by the people to their governments, with not only the national parliament but the provincial, amphoe, tambon, and village authorities elected directly by the people.
7. the same goes for the Royal Thai police... no more national police but provincial police and district police, directly answerable to the constituencies they serve.
8. and so forth

It's not up to me to design the Thai government it's up to the Thai people, but generally accepted tried and true practices have been developed over the course of the six or seven hundred years since feudalism has been discarded elsewhere, and those practices need to be sorted through, adapted and adopted by the Thai people.

I'm actually fairly optimistic. Thailand's overt embrace of the Burmese model will fill everyone in the world, except perhaps the Burmese, Chinese, and North Koreans, with a sense of revulsion, certainly the Thais themselves at the forefront of those so revolted. Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain running the Bangkok Post, The Nation, and the Thai language sycophants in the government propaganda office.

It's been a long time comin' but a change is gonna come!

The only "achievement" of this monstrous, reactionary and recalcitrant regime will be seen to have been the delay of elections by a few months... and the wanton murder of at least 85 Thais and the wounding of thousands of others to "achieve" that delay.